Another weekend, another UFC event.
Headlined by a heavyweight title eliminator between the experienced Alexander Volkov and budding prospect Ciryl Gane, UFC Fight Night 190 brings what promises to be a showcase for talented fighters looking to break out from the pack.
With a preliminary card that boasts the likes of Shavkat Rakhmonov and Warlley Alves, the latest Las Vegas event looks to be an entertaining night of fights.
Ciryl Gane (8-0) vs. Alexander Volkov (33-8)
This is by far the biggest test of Gane’s career thus far and it’ll be fascinating to see how he deals with someone the quality of Volkov on the feet.
With his long-range, accuracy, and output, Volkov is a tough opponent for almost anyone and has only been bested inside of the octagon by takedown machine Curtis Blaydes and the devastating KO power of Derrick Lewis.
For Gane to defeat Volkov, he’ll likely have to ground the Russian and keep him there which is a tough ask for anyone who can get him there.
On the feet, while Gane is composed and technology far beyond his experience, Volkov is that further down the line where he has been there and done it at the top level.
It’s a really tough pick as I think Gane is 100% destined for UFC gold but Volkov has that extra nous and knowledge at this point in time which could prove pivotal.
Pick: Alexander Volkov
Tanner Boser (19-8-1) vs. Ovince Saint Preux (25-15)
OSP’s ability to find fight-ending opportunities is the only factor to consider when siding with him these days as his low output and age aren’t inducive to being competitive at this point.
While Boser isn’t exactly the most entertaining of fighters himself, he does provide action on the feet as well as a greater durability than his opponent which should see the natural heavyweight win here.
Pick: Tanner Boser
Raoni Barcelos (16-1) vs. Timur Valiev (17-2, 1 NC)
Both Barcelos and Valiev are well-rounded but I think Barcelos has that extra ability on the mat as well as the power behind his strikes.
Valiev is probably more eager when it comes to initiating takedowns but with Barcelos’ quality when it comes to grappling, I doubt he’ll be looking to ground the Brazilian as often as he would usually like.
This should be a competitive fight but Barcelos looks to be set for the top 15 at bantamweight.
Pick: Raoni Barcelos
Andre Fili (21-8) vs. Daniel Pineda (27-14, 2 NC)
Fili and Pineda are all-action fighters who push the pace on the feet and their willingness to scrap could see them trade in the pocket until one or the other falls.
If Fili is smart he should look to use his grappling at points in this fight as I feel he’s the better man there.
However likely or not that is, I’ll still side with ‘Touchy’ here as he should have the speed advantage with his jabs.
Pick: Andre Fili
Tim Means (31-12-1, 1 NC) vs. Nicolas Dalby (19-3-1, 2 NC)
While Means and Dalby do their best work on the feet, the battle for where the fight takes place should be the key to victory.
With Means better in close while Dalby’s karate background favours a longer range, footwork and functionality will be decisive.
It’s another tough one to call but I think the fact Means operates at a higher clip than his Danish counterpart will just give him the nod on the judges’ scorecards.
Pick: Tim Means
Renato Moicano (14-4-1) vs. Jai Herbert (10-2)
Herbert certainly has the power to hurt Moicano and the Brazilian’s tendency to get tagged should give the Englishman some confidence heading into this bout.
While Herbert is also a decent scrambler, I think Moicano has the better pedigree when it comes to grappling and he should look to exploit that quality gap in this fight.
Moicano’s dubious decision-making should make this closer than it could be but I will tentatively side with Moicano to get the job done.
Pick: Renato Moicano
(Last Predictions: 3/6, Total: 59/108, 55% Success Rate)
(Success Rate: 2016: 61%, ’17: 60%, ’18: 58%, 19′: 57%, 20′: 67%)