The Baltimore Ravens will look to get revenge for last year's playoff loss when they visit the Tennessee Titans on Sunday afternoon in an AFC Wild Card Weekend matchup. Baltimore finished the regular season at 11-5 behind a five-game winning streak after it crushed the Cincinnati Bengals 38-3 as a 13.5-point road favorite last Sunday. Tennessee won the AFC South at 11-5 after it survived a wild road game against the Houston Texans 41-38 as a seven-point favorite over the weekend.
Last year's Divisional Round provided one of the upsets of the season, as Tennessee took down the 14-2 Ravens in blowout fashion 28-12. The Titans also won a regular-season matchup at Baltimore back in Week 11 by a 30-24 scoreline in overtime.
(Late line movements and injury reports were updated on Sunday morning.)
The line has moved slightly toward the hosts in this AFC Wild Card battle. Baltimore opened as a 3.5-point favorite on the road when the lines came out. That line now shows the Ravens as giving 3 or 3.5 points at the majority of sportsbooks. 54 percent of the bets ATS in this contest are backing the Ravens giving the points on the road here as they try to lock down a spot in the AFC Divisional Playoff.
The total for this game opened at 55 points. Since then, there has been little movement as it now sits at 54.5 points at the majority of sportsbooks. As it stands, a hefty majority, 65 percent, of the bets on the total are looking for this one to go over the total.
Game-time Weather: The weather isn’t going to be too bad for early January in Music City. Temperatures are expected to be in the high-30s at kickoff with the real-feel sitting in the mid-40s under partly sunny skies. The mercury will move up slightly and then fall to right around 40 degrees by the game’s end. There is no chance of precipitation during the game so the weather will be pretty favorable. Winds are from the north-northeast at five miles an hour with the gusts kicking up to around six miles an hour during the game.
Baltimore ends regular season on hot streakThe Ravens have largely been crushing opponents over the last month and secured a playoff spot by putting the Bengals away early on Sunday. Miles Boykin and Marquise Brown reeled in touchdown passes from Lamar Jackson in the first half to get some breathing room, and Cincinnati's only points came on a 38-yard field goal just before the break.
Jackson completed 10 of 18 pass attempts for 118 yards, three touchdowns and one interception while running the ball 11 times for 97 yards. It was one of the most dominant team performances of the NFL season, with the Ravens rushing for 404 yards as a team while outgaining Cincinnati 525-195.
“It’s a bunch of guys that are happy, but we’re still hungry,” running back J.K. Dobbins said via the Associated Press after piling up 160 yards and two touchdowns. “We’re glad to get this win and get in, but we know what the ultimate goal is, and that’s what’s on our minds right now.”
The Ravens finish the regular season at 10-6 against the spread and have covered in six straight games, most notably in a 47-42 shootout against the Cleveland Browns as a three-point favorite four weeks ago. Overs are 7-9 for the Ravens this season, as last Sunday's dominant defensive performance caused the Bengals game to go under the betting total of 46 points.
Baltimore's late surge helped it get to seventh in scoring offense at 29.3 points per game despite being below average in total offense at 361.3 yards per game. The Ravens have the NFL's second-best scoring defense at 18.9 points per game allowed on 329.8 yards allowed per game, which ranks seventh.
Jackson hasn't repeated the numbers from his MVP campaign last season but still had an excellent year completing 242 of 376 passes for 2,757 yards, 26 touchdowns, and seven interceptions, in addition to 1,005 yards and seven touchdowns on the ground. Rookie Patrick Queen led the Ravens with 106 tackles and nine tackles for loss, while also forcing two fumbles and intercepting a pass.
Baltimore Ravens Injury Report:
OUT: LB Otara Alaka, TE Nick Boyle, G Ben Brederson, TE Jacob Breeland, CB Khalil Dorsey, QB Robert Griffin III, CB Davontae Harris, CB Iman Marshall, QB Trace McSorley, T Andre Smith, T Ronnie Stanley, WR De'Anthony Thomas, WR Antoine Wesley, WR DeAndrew White, CB Tavon Young
Questionable: DE Calais Campbell, G D.J. Fluker, CB Marlon Humphrey, G Patrick Mekari, DE Yannick Ngakoue, CB Jimmy Smith, WR Willie Snead IV
Tennessee wins AFC South at the buzzerThe Titans had already clinched a playoff spot thanks to Miami's loss earlier in the day, but also took home the AFC South title after surviving a wild game against the Texans. Houston looked like it was going to play spoiler after erasing a 24-9 halftime deficit to lead 35-31 on a Pharaoh Brown touchdown catch in the fourth, but Tennessee went back in front on Ryan Tannehill's second touchdown run of the day with 1:42 left. Deshaun Watson led a drive that resulted in a game-tying 51-yard field goal with 18 seconds left, only for recently signed kicker Sam Sloman to doink in the game-winner after A.J. Brown reeled in a 52-yard catch.
Tannehill had another ultra-efficient game, completing 18 of 27 passes for 216 yards and a touchdown while adding 38 yards and two scores on the ground. Derrick Henry carried the ball 34 times for 250 yards and two touchdowns to cap off a regular season that has him in contention for the Offensive Player of the Year award.
“In the end, we had some time and we executed and Ryan (Tannehill) and A.J. hooked up,” head coach Mike Vrabel said to the Associated Press. “There’s a lot to fix and correct. We’re not going to apologize for winning 11 games in the National Football League.”
The Titans finished the year at 7-9 against the spread, and have failed to cover in each of their last two games after being blown out 40-14 as a three-point underdog by the Green Bay Packers the prior week. Overs are 10-3-1 for the Titans this year and finished the regular season on a three-game winning streak thanks to Tennessee's combination of elite offense and poor defense.
Tennessee enters the playoffs at fourth in the NFL in scoring at 30.7 points per game and third in total offense at 396.4 yards per contest. It's been a massive struggle for the Titans defense particularly against the pass, and they are allowing 27.4 points per game on 398.2 yards per game, both 24th or worse in the league.
Henry carried the ball 378 times for 2,027 yards and 17 touchdowns, becoming the eighth running back in NFL history to eclipse the 2,000-yard mark. Tannehill posted some of the most efficient stats of any quarterback, completing 315 of 481 passes for 3,819 yards, 33 touchdowns and seven interceptions, plus 216 yards and seven touchdowns on the ground. Brown went over the 1,000-yard mark receiving, with Corey Davis just behind at 984.
Top corner Adoree' Jackson, who only appeared in the last three games due to a knee injury, did not practice on Thursday but is expected to be available on Sunday after playing almost every snap the last two weeks. Brown was missing due to knee/hand injuries but has played well through ailments all season. The offensive line is becoming a concern, as left guard Rodger Saffold (ankle), right tackle Dennis Kelly (knee), and center Aaron Brewer (non-injury related) were all out Thursday. Saffold said he was going to play during a recent press conference, but the situation is worth monitoring.
Tennessee Titans Injury Report:
OUT: DB Breon Borders, C Aaron Brewer, LB Jayon Brown, DE Jadeveon Clowney, DB Dane Cruikshank, K Stephen Gostkowski, WR Adam Humphries, T Taylor Lewan, T Anthony McKinney, CB Chris Milton, T Ty Sambrailo, T Isaiah Wilson
Questionable: LB Daren Bates, WR A.J. Brown, RB Darrynton Evans, CB Adoree’ Jackson, T Dennis Kelly, G Rodger Saffold III
Trends via Covers.com. Tennessee is:
- 4-1 ATS in its last five Wild Card Weekend games.
- 7-3-1 ATS in the last 11 head-to-head meetings with the Ravens.
- 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game
- 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games in this series