2021-09-05
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants
League : MLB

San Francisco Giants vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction & Preview



 

 

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

The Los Angeles Dodgers are trying to take control of the NL West as they are currently in second place with an 85-50 record. They will be sending righty Walker Buehler to pitch here and he is coming off a no-decision against the Atlanta Braves where he threw seven innings and gave up two runs on four hits with two walks and five strikeouts.

The San Francisco Giants are clinging to their NL West divisional lead as they currently are 86-49 this season. They have not announced who will be on the mound here but according to Fangraphs, southpaw Jose Quintana is expected to pitch. He did not factor into the decision against the Milwaukee Brewers last time out as he went 3.1 shutout innings and allowed a hit, a walk, and six strikeouts. 

Dodging the Wild Card?

The Los Angeles Dodgers are a solid hitting offensive team as they have a .752 OPS, which is good for seventh in baseball. They do not seem to have trouble scoring runs as they are averaging 5.04 runs per night. However, their offense seemed to cool down as in the last 30 days (27 games) they are scoring 4.37 runs per game with a .723 slashline, which is 18th in that stretch. First baseman Max Muncy has been hitting the best on the team as he has a .925 OPS with 30 home runs and 78 RBI while stealing a pair of bases without being caught. If the Dodgers can figure out how to hit even better, they should get the division crown and avoid the Wild Card game.

 

Walker Buehler has been nothing short of incredible this season according to his Baseball Savant page as he is in the 90th percentile in xERA, 90th percentile in xwOBA, 83rd percentile in xSLG, and 79th percentile in xBA. His 88 MPH exit velocity is the lowest since 2018. Buehler throws six different pitches (fastball, cutter, slider, curveball, sinker, changeup) and his heater has a .195 batting average with 76 strikeouts. This will be his sixth start against San Francisco and he went 3-0 in 34 innings and allowed five runs (three earned) on 20 hits with eight walks and 32 strikeouts.

 

Giant Leap Forward

The San Francisco Giants have been one of the better offensive hitting teams as their .753 OPS is right above the Dodgers at sixth overall. The Giants have a lot of power in their lineup this season as they are only trailing the Toronto Blue Jays with their 201 team homers. However, this team has gone cold in their last seven games as they have scored a total of 14 runs in that span. Shortstop Brandon Crawford has been hitting very well this season as he has an .865 OPS with 19 home runs and 75 RBI while stealing 10 bases in 12 attempts. If San Francisco can continue to hit as well as they have, they can keep the Dodgers at bay here.

 

 

 

Jose Quintana has not pitched well this season according to his Baseball Savant page as he is in the eighth percentile in barrel percentage, 15th percentile in average exit velocity, 21st percentile in xERA, and 23rd percentile in hard hit percentage. His 10.9 barrel percentage is the highest of his career. Quintana has a four-pitch arsenal (fastball, curveball, sinker, changeup) and his curveball has been hit the most as it has a .310 batting average and a .517 slugging percentage. He has faced the Dodgers twice already this season as he went 0-0 in 4.2 innings and allowed one run on two hits with five walks and six strikeouts.







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