Twenty-first ranked San Diego State is undefeated and looks to stay that way hosting Fresno State in a Mountain West Conference matchup.
Fresno State has won two in a row and five of their last six games. They already have beaten a ranked team on the road in UCLA and they also nearly beat a ranked Oregon squad on the road in their second game of the season. The Aztecs can pull into a tie in the MWC West Division and the team is led by a passing offense that ranks ninth in the nation in passing yards per game.
San Diego State is 7-0 but they have only played two games against good teams in Utah and Air Force. They have a good rushing offense, as usual, but the squad is really led by a strong defense that ranks seventh in the nation only giving up an average of 15.7 points per game.
Narrow EscapeFresno State was at home in their last game where they narrowly beat Nevada 34-32 in a less than stellar defensive effort. The team did force two turnovers but they gave up 523 total yards and were killed in the air giving up 476 passing yards. The Bulldogs did have 461 yards of total offense and they had balance with 256 passing yards and 205 rushing yards.
FSU is led by senior QB Jake Haener (2,582 yards 22 TD 6 INT), who got overthrowing four picks in a loss to Hawaii by tossing two TD and no INT in each of his last two games. The Bulldogs have a more than legit WR with three players at least 409 receiving yards led by Jalen Cropper (580 yards 10 TD) but the team has leaned on the run more in the last two games, which has resulted in two wins. Ronnie Rivers (573 yards 4 TD) is averaging five yards per carry, has 153 rushing yards in the last two games, and in the win over Nevada had a big 64-yard TD run. Jordan Mims ranks second on the team with 313 rushing yards and he blew up in the win over Nevada with a season-high 134 yards with a TD and averaged 5.8 yards per carry. Fresno will be facing a stout SDSU defense that ranks eighth in the nation against the run and 23rd against the pass.
Good Thing for the TurnoversIn their last game, San Diego State was on the road and beat Air Force 20-14 where they forced two turnovers. Those turnovers were key in the win, as the Aztecs were outgained 259 yards to 229 yards and they gave up 192 yards.
SDSU covered the spread as a 3-point underdog and they have covered in five of their last six games.
SDSU relies on the run only ranking 126th in the nation in passing yards per game. QB Lucas Johnson (306 yards 4 TD 1 INT) got the start in the last game against Air Force and passed for 72 yards with no TD and no INT.TE Daniel Bellinger leads the team with only 197 receiving yards on 13 receptions. Greg Bell (603 yards 5 TD) is the big gun in the backfield for the Aztecs but has only totaled 83 rushing yards in the last two games. The team has gotten solid play from the other RB’s and there are three besides Bell, who have at least 184 rushing yards. The key matchup in this game may be the Aztecs run game facing Fresno State and their 31st ranked run defense.
The San Diego State Aztecs are:
- 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall
- 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games
- 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS win
The Fresno State Bulldogs are:
- 1-5 ATS in their last 6 conference games
- 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game
- 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game