The Los Angeles Dodgers and San Diego Padres will square off here on Cinco De Mayo. The Dodgers have once again been one of the best teams in the league, while the Padres have started off stronger than in years past. Kenta Maeda will be on the mound for the Dodgers, with Nick Margevicius taking the hill for the Padres. Oddsmakers have the Dodgers as modest road favorites here.
Dodgers Coasting On Easy Schedule
The Los Angeles Dodgers made it to the World Series for the second straight season last year, and again came up short. As they look to make it back for a third consecutive year, they’ve gotten off to a pretty good start.
They sit at 21-13 and in first place in the NL West entering the weekend. While that’s pretty good, they haven’t look fantastic overall. They’ve also coasted on a pretty easy schedule, as they had the benefit of playing sets against the Giants and Pirates before entering this one against the Padres. They’ll have Kenta Maeda on the mound here, who has been shaky. Overall, Maeda has a 4.41 ERA on the year. He’s prone to melt downs, and has given up at least five runs in two of his past four outings. He always looks a bit uncomfortable away from home, and as such has struggled on the road.
In four road starts this year, he has a 5.59 ERA. Not surprisingly, the Dodgers are just 1-5 in Maeda’s last six road starts, and 1-7 in his last eight road starts against teams with winning records. Los Angeles’ lineup also isn’t quite as good as people think. They got off to an insane start, which has led them to be pretty overrated, and the offense has actually been mostly average lately. I’m not sure the Dodgers should be favorites on the road here…
The San Diego Padres and their fans can’t really complain. It’s not like they’ve been tearing things up, but they’ve been very solid, which is a huge win considering their recent past. The team hasn’t been relevant in years, and they finally are.They enter this one with an 18-15 record, which is pretty good. The offseason signing of Manny Machado to the largest contract in franchise history injected some much-needed excitement to the team, and they have a ton of energy. They’re thriving with their very young team, and they’re just a really fun team to watch right now. As they try to keep things going smoothly, they’ll turn to Joey Lucchesi here. Lucchesi is a 25-year-old lefty who is very high on talent, although he has been a bit inconsistent. In three of his six starts this season, he’s given up one or zero runs. He’s pitched much better at home, and in four home starts this year he has a 2.35 ERA.
In those four home starts, the Padres are 3-1. San Diego’s lineup hits righties like Maeda well, and the Padres are 7-2 in their last nine games against right-handed starters. San Diego will be eager to close out this series strong, and get a win at home in order to stick it to all the Dodgers fans who pack the stadium whenever Los Angeles is in town. There could be some value on the home dog here…
- 7-2 in their last 9 games vs. a right-handed starter
- 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600
- 1-5 in Maeda’s last 6 road starts
- 1-7 in Maeda’s last 8 road starts vs. a team with a winning record
- 3-7 in Maeda’s last 10 starts