Game Seven – the two greatest words in sports. The Dallas Mavericks and Phoenix Suns are all tied up heading into game seven tonight in Phoenix. Tip is set for 8:00 ET from Footprint Center as the winner will punch their ticket to a seven-game series with the Golden State Warriors in the Western Conference Finals.
Mavericks Looking to Edge Out First Road WinIt’s been a back-and-forth series for Dallas, but their biggest win came at home in game six. It was a 113-86 routing at American Airlines Center with the Mavs improving to 3-0 at home during the series. Dallas covered the +2 spread in the game and the final score failed to clear the 214.0-point total set by the oddsmakers. The Mavs shot 45.5% from the field and cashed 41.0% of their deep balls, going 16-39. They also held the trend of getting to the free-throw line, where they went 27-36 from the charity stripe. It was none other than Luka Doncic leading the scoring charge for the Mavericks. The superstar guard dropped 33 points in the game while adding 11 rebounds and eight assists. Spencer Dinwiddie contributed 15 points off of the bench in the win.
As a sports bettor and fan, it’s pretty clear that the series revolves around how well the role players perform for the Mavericks. Jalen Brunson, Reggie Bullock, and Dorian Finney-Smith have been great at home this series, but will they take the leap forward and help Doncic secure the win on the road? In my opinion, Doncic is going to get his 30-40 points, but it all depends on how the Mavericks’ role players shoot and defend in this one.
Suns Big Three on a MissionPhoenix was only able to score 100+ points once during the three games in Dallas. However, they have gone 3-0 at home in the series and haven’t scored less than 110 points. As for game six, the Suns shot 39.7% from the field and went 6-18 from beyond the arc (33.3%). A big storyline throughout the postseason that carried over in game six was the turnovers for the Suns. They turned the ball over 22 times in the game and that led to 29 points off of turnovers for the Mavs. Dallas also beat the Suns in fast break points, outsourcing them 21-8 in that category. As for individual efforts, Deandre Ayton led the way with 21 points and he grabbed 11 boards in the loss. Devin Booker had an off night, shooting 6-17 from the field and 0-4 from three-point range. He scored 19 points and added eight rebounds.
For Phoenix, the path to victory relies on their star players performing well and carrying the team. While role players like Jae Crowder and Mikal Bridges will need to bring their A-game on defense, the scoring needs to be handled by Booker, Ayton, and Chris Paul. If those three can combine for 70+ points, I don’t see a way that the Suns lose this game at home.
- Suns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite (per covers.com).
- Suns are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS loss (per covers.com).
- Under is 4-0 in Mavericks last 4 Conference Semifinals games (per covers.com).
- Under is 5-1 in Mavericks last 6 games following an ATS win (per covers.com).