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New York Mets
Philadelphia Phillies
League : MLB

Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets Prediction & Preview



#909 New York
Mets 135
#910 Philadelphia
Phillies -135

Thursday, September 17, 2020 at 7:05pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports


New York Mets (21-27) vs. Philadelphia Phillies (24-23)

Can the New York Mets sneak their way into the Wild Card round? Losing to the Philadelphia Phillies, a team 3.5 games ahead of them in the standings is not helping their cause, but they look to turn things around when the two NL East rivals close out a three-game set on Thursday.

The Phillies won the opening game of this series with Game 2 on Wednesday night. Philadelphia won 4-1 on Tuesday. These two teams have already faced each other in two other series. The Phillies swept three games on August 14-16 in Philly. The teams split a four-game series early this month.


Trying to Turn Production into Runs

The New York Mets lead the Majors in hitting at .279 and are first in on-base percentage (.354). however, they are only 10th in runs. The problem is that they are leaving far too many men left on base and they lead the Majors in hitting into double-plays.


This is not a clutch team. They are 25th in hitting with runners in scoring position and are 20th with runners in scoring position and two outs. Those kinds of numbers lead to runners left on base, a lack of run support, and a lot of close losses. The Mets are 4-9 in one-run games and are 1-4 in extra-innings. With the lack of clutch hitting it is easy to see why they are struggling to score runs.

The Mets venerable pitching staff has not been as invincible as many believed when the season began, ranked 19th in the Majors. However, Seth Lugo has been a big bright spot. The right-hander is 2-3 with a 2.63 ERA in 13 appearances, four of which are starts.

After making nine straight relief appearances, including saving three games, Lugo has become a permanent fixture in the rotation. He was very good in his first three starts, allowing two total runs in 11.2 innings, but struggled in his last outing against the Toronto Blue Jays, allowing three runs in 5.1 innings.


Phillies Thankful for Mets

The Phillies had to be thankful to see the Mets come to town. Philadelphia had traveled to Miami to play seven games in five days and they can away with just two wins. Yipes is the operative word.


The one bright spot in that series was Thursday’s starter for Philadelphia, right-hander Aaron Nola. He tossed seven shutout innings against the Marlins, allowing just two hits while striking out 10.

That was the second straight outing for Nola where he struck out 10. His first came against the Mets on September 6, where he reached double-digits in strikeouts, but was rocked for six runs, three earned, in 5.1 innings.

Nola had either been very good or mediocre in his nine starts. In seven outings he has allowed a total of four runs, including throwing seven shutout innings in two appearances and eight shutout innings in another. However, in his other two starts, he has given up 10 runs in 8.0 innings.

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