Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, Preview, and Odds – 9-10-2019
On Tuesday night, the Atlanta Braves and Philadelphia Phillies will do battle in this NL East Division matchup. First pitch is set for 7:05 PM ET, with Max Fried on the mound for Atlanta and Jason Vargas going for Philadelphia.
Television-wise, the matchup will be broadcast on FSSE for Atlanta and NSPA for Philadelphia.
Braves Trying To Catch LA For Best Record In NL
The Atlanta Braves have had a fantastic season. They are first in the NL East, 9-1 in their last ten games, and just three games back of the Los Angeles Dodgers for first in the National League. The Braves play well on the road and at home, but if they face the Dodgers in the postseason, they probably want to have home field advantage against them. Atlanta is surging in September with a 7-1 record and they will try to keep it going against their fellow NL East teams.
Max Fried had a great first half of the season, but his ERA has gone up. He has just three quality starts in his last seven outings. However, the Braves have won his last nine starts. He has started twice against the Phillies this season and he gave up five runs in both of those games. The Braves were able to score a lot of runs in those games anyway and still get the win. So, this guy seems to have a lucky streak going.
The Braves are 7-6 against the Phillies this season. Atlanta is 17-3 in their last 20 games and seems ready for a postseason run. They have been awesome at one-run games all season. Ronald Acuna is usually the main guy for the Braves offense and he struggled lately with a .192 average over the last month. Also, most of the Braves sluggers are hit and miss against some of these Phillies pitchers. When a team is on a roll, things tend to even out at some point and maybe this could be the series where that happens. However, it is always hard to stop that chop.
Atlanta won Game 1 of this series and matched last years win total of 90 wins. Pitcher Mike Foltynewicz only allowed one run, in seven innings of work, and maybe set the tone for this series. “He was just in one of those grooves,” manager Brian Snitker said. “The rhythm was really good. He was repeating his delivery. Confident. I looked up there at one time and he had 22 strikes and eight balls. The whole package was really good.”
Phillies Still In Wild Card Race
The Philadelphia Phillies have been just a few games back of the second wild card spot for awhile and who knows if and when they will move up. With just a few weeks left in the season, they can’t afford to just go .500. So far this month they are 5-4 and that just won’t cut it. The Phillies will face playoff-bound teams or teams fighting for a playoff spot for the rest of the season and then finish against the Miami Marlins. It won’t be easy, but everyone is still waiting for a spark from this team. They are 2.5 games back in the wild card race and 5-5 in their last ten games.
Jason Vargas hasn’t had that much success with the Phillies. Honestly, he pitched the same type of games with the New York Mets this season and it just carried over to the Phillies. He has just two quality starts and Philadelphia is 2-5 in his starts. Vargas usually pitches five innings, gives up four runs, and walks a few batters. Also, half of these starts were against below-average teams and that won’t help his case.
The Phillies just wrapped up a 4-3 road trip and are ready to have a good homestand. Philadelphia has had to deal with on and off injuries all season and would like to have a healthy team, so that they can make a run right now. Bryce Harper didn’t play the last two games of the road trip because he was hit in the hand by a pitch in Friday’s game. He will be okay and hopefully the numbers come alive this series. So far this month, the Phillies have had a mix of solid wins, one-run losses, and bad losses.
Bryce Harper will be ready to go in this series. Here’s what he said before Game 1. “I felt good in the cage and I let [manager Gabe Kapler] know that during the game,” Harper said. “If there was an opportunity to get some runs in, he would put me in.”
- Phillies are 2-6 in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Phillies are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Phillies are 0-4 in Vargas’ last 4 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Braves are 6-0 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Braves are 9-1 in Fried’s last 10 starts with 4 days of rest.