2020-12-31
FLORIDA
OKLAHOMA
League : NCAAF

OKLAHOMA vs FLORIDA Prediction & Preview



 

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

The Cotton Bowl has been played every year since 1937 and the rich history of this Bowl Classic will continue even though many Bowl Games will be cancelled this bowl season. Oklahoma will serve as the home team and they are a 3-point underdog and the total for this game is sitting around 72 points.

Florida finished ranked #7 with an 8-3 record after losing their last two games to LSU and Alabama. The Gators played well enough to beat Alabama in the SEC championship, but in the end, came up a little short of pulling off the upset.

Oklahoma won their sixth Big 12 conference championship in a row by defeating Iowa State in the conference championship game last Saturday. Oklahoma finished 8-2 on the season only losing to Kansas State and Iowa State in week two and three of the season.

(Late line movements and injury reports were updated on Tuesday evening.)

Line Movements:

The line has moved in favor of the home team for this contest as the week has gone on. Florida opened as a 2.5-point favorite when the lines came out and, as of Tuesday evening, Oklahoma now stands as a 3.5 or four-point favorite at the majority of sportsbooks for this contest. 67 percent of the bets ATS are backing the Sooners giving the points as they look to earn the victory in the Cotton Bowl.

The total for this contest has moved down somewhat during this week. After opening at 68.5 points, the total has bumped up to 67.5 or 68 points, depending on your sportsbook of choice. A hefty majority, 72 percent, of the bets on the total are expecting this contest to end up going over the mark.

Game-time Weather: AT&T Stadium in Arlington is a retractable-roof stadium. That means 68 degrees, no winds and no precipitation in the forecast. Expect an offensive bonanza here.

Florida Nearly Upsets #1 Alabama

The University of Florida was able to secure eight wins on the season. They nearly had their ninth win of the season in the SEC championship game against Alabama. After trailing 35-17 at the half the Gators were able to outscore Alabama 29-17 in the second half but came up short, in the end, losing 52-46.

 

The Gators have enjoyed success this season behind their offense and star quarterback Kyle Trask. Florida averaged 41.6 points per game this season while compiling 508.8 yards on average per game. Florida averaged 388.4 yards passing per game and 120.5 yards per game on the ground. The Gator defense allowed 21.9 points per game while giving up 333.6 yards per game.

Senior Kyle Trask led the nation in passing yards (4,125) and touchdown passes (43). He had multiple games of 400 or more passing yards and only threw 5 INT's while completing 69.7% of his pass attempts. The Gators will be without Kyle Pitts who had 43 receptions for 770 yards and 12 TD's. Pitts has decided to skip the Cotton Bowl and enter the NFL draft. Kadarius Toney led the Gators in receptions with 70 grabs for 984 yards and 10 TD's. Trevon Grimes will have to step up and contribute and he was good for 38 receptions for 589 yards and 9 TD's this season. (edit: Both Toney and Grimes are out).

Florida Injury Report:

OUT: DL Lucas Alonzo, WR Jacob Copeland, DL Lamar Goods, WR Trevon Grimes, DL Jaelin Humphries, UT Kahleil Jackson, UT Kevin Johnson, OL Hayden Knighton, DB Quincy Lenton, LB Jeremiah Moon, TE Kyle Pitts, DB Ethan Pouncey, WR Kadarius Toney, UT Joshua Tse, DB Kamar Wilcoxson, DB Marco Wilson

Questionable: DB Rashad Torrence

Oklahoma Wins 6th Straight Big 12 Title

The University of Oklahoma recorded 8 wins on the season and defeated Iowa State 27-21 in the Big 12 Championship game to win their 6th straight Big 12 title. The Sooners suffered back to back losses to end September and start October as Kansas State beat them Oklahoma at home 38-35, and then the very next week they lost to the Cyclones on the road 37-30.

 

The success of the Oklahoma Sooners this year has been behind a productive offense and a solid defense. Oklahoma's offense scored 41.8 points per game while compiling 475.8 yards of total offense behind 321 yards through the air, and 154 yards on the ground. The defense was able to hold opponents to 21.9 points per game but Kansas State scored 38, Iowa scored 37, Texas scored 45 in OT, and Texas Tech scored 28. The last thing the Sooners need is a shootout with the Nations best quarterback.

Spencer Rattler is the freshman quarterback sensation and the future of the Sooners under center. Rattler completed 200 passes on 294 attempts, good for a 68% completion percentage. He threw for 2,784 yards and 25 touchdowns and only 7 INT's. Rattler has three receivers with at least 400 yards receiving, and these same three have accounted for 14 of Rattler's 25 TD's. Marvin Mims has 8 TD's to go with his 583 yards. Theo Wease has 494 yards on 36 receptions with 3 TD's and Austin Stogner is the 6'6" tight-end who has 410 yards and 3 TD's.

Oklahoma Injury Report:

OUT: CB Tre Brown, CB Kendall Dennis, OL Finley Felix, DB Justin Harrington, WR Jadon Haselwood, DL Marcus Hicks, LB Caleb Kelly, WR Obi Obialo, HB Austin Stogner, WR Greydon Williams

Questionable: S Justin Broiles






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