The Georgia State Panthers will travel to Kenan Stadium on Saturday night to take on the 24th-ranked prospect North Carolina Tar Heels in a non-conference matchup. The Georgia State Panthers are 0-1 are coming off a losing effort against the Army Black Knights 43-10. Sophomore quarterback Cornelious Brown IV did not have a great game as he went 12-of-20 for 129 yards with an interception. The North Carolina Tar Heels are also 0-1 and are coming off a 17-10 road loss against the Virginia Tech Hokies where junior quarterback Sam Howell went 17-of-32 for 208 yards with a touchdown and three interceptions.
These programs are coming off disappointing outings last week and need to figure out how to be more consistent. Let’s take a deeper dive into these teams to determine where we should be placing our wagers.
Line Movements & Weather
The Tar Heels have gon from -25 up to -26 or -26.5, depending on the sportsbook you frequent the most. North Carolina has grabbed 85% of the bets, so the Sharps are slightly on the side of Georgia State.
The OU line opened up at 68 and has been bet down to 66 or 65.5 with 54% of the bets coming in on the Under.
Gametime Weather: The temps are expected to be in the low 70s with clear skies.
Thrashing DefendersSophomore wide receiver Jamari Thrash has been playing well as he is leading the Georgia State Panthers at this point in the season. He is coming off a game against the Army Black Knights where he went seven catches for 87 yards. Having 12.4 receiving yards per catch is going to help Cornelious Brown IV be a better quarterback as 66.7 percent of his completions last week went to Thrash. If he can continue to beat the defender, it will do wonders for this offense.
The Georgia State Panthers struggled throughout their season-opening game against the Army Black Knights last week. They gave up 43 total points and struggled to get their defense off of the field as Army went 10-for-16 on third down while going 3-for-3 on fourth down. The Panthers were not able to stop the rushing attack as they allowed 258 rushing yards on 67 attempts (3.9 rushing yards per carry). If the Georgia State Panthers can figure out how to be a better defense, they can be in a great spot.
Out - WR Sam Pinckney
Getting First DownsThe North Carolina Tar Heels have to be able to move the chains and sophomore wide receiver Josh Downs played well. He finished with eight receptions for 123 yards and a touchdown. This was the first time where he finished with 95+ receiving yards in a game and his eight catches was more than his 2020 total (7). If Sam Howell can figure out how to be a more accurate quarterback and not turn the ball over, he can continue throwing towards Josh Downs and continue being successful.
The North Carolina Tar Heels have been a decent defensive team in their season opener this season as they allowed 17 points and were decent defensively on third down. They went 6-for-13 on third down and allowed a total of 296 yards (169 passing, 127 rushing). The Tar Heels did not figure out how to get the Hokies off the field as Virginia Tech had 34:57 time of possession. If the defense can figure out how to get stops on third down, it will do wonders for this team as they try to climb in the AP Polls.
Out - WR Beau Corrales and LB Ethan West
Questionable - WR J.J. Jones, WR Tylee Craft, and WR Khafre Brown
- North Carolina: 6-2 ATS in their last eight games following a loss
- North Carolina: 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite
- Georgia State: 5-11-2 ATS in their last 18 road games
- Georgia State: 2-5-2 ATS in their last nine September games