The Idaho Potato Bowl pits a Tulane team that ended the season well against a Nevada team that lost two of their last three games.
Tulane finished at 6-5 this season (3-5 AAC)and after a three-game skid, they won four of their last five games. while the Green Wave did not play great D on the season they averaged 35.4 ppg and have a legit run game that averaged 218.9 rushing yards per game.
Nevada (6-2 overall) won their first five games of the season but faltered down the stretch with losses in two of their last three games. While the Wolf Pack are like Tulane in that they can score (29.9 ppg), they are led by their aerial attack that ranked 10th in the nation averaging 325.1 passing yards per game.
(Late line movements and injury reports were updated on Tuesday morning.)
There has been slight movement toward the default home team on the line during the week for this contest. Tulane opened as a four-point favorite and that has moved toward Nevada. As of Tuesday morning, the line can be found with the Green Wave giving 1.5 points at the majority of sportsbooks. A narrow majority, 51 percent, of the bets ATS are backing Tulane as the road team giving the points, in the Famous Idaho Potato Bowl.
The total for this contest has stayed relatively steady during the week. After opening at 56 points, the total currently sits at 55.5, 56 or 56.5 points, depending on the sportsbook you frequent. A massive majority, 79 percent, of the bets on the total that think this one will end up over the total.
Game-time Weather: Temperature at kickoff is expected to be in the high-30s under mostly cloudy skies. The real-feel temperature at kickoff will be in the high-20s with a 30 percent chance of precipitation in the forecast. Temperatures will crack the 40-degree mark in the game with the precipitation chance bumping up to nearly a coin flip. There are snow squalls in the forecast later in the afternoon but the game should be completed by that point. Winds could be a factor as they are expected from the west-northwest around 16 miles an hour with the gusts topping out at 21 miles per hour during the game.
Two-Headed MonsterThe Green Wave are led by their two running backs in Stephon Huderson and Cameron Carroll, who combined for 1,342 rushing yards and 14 TD. Huderson rushed for 67 yards in the season finale, which was a 35-21 win over Memphis, and rushed for over 100 yards in three games this season. Carroll averaged a more than solid 5.5 yards per carry on the season but in the last three games only rushed for a total of 88 yards.
Michael Pratt passed for 1,638 yards with a TD to INT ratio of 18:5 and the freshman passed for six TD and only one INT in the last three games.
While the Green Wave are a run-first team they have three WR’s that have at least 216 yards led by Deuce Watts, who has 512 yards and six TD. He averaged 16.5 yards per reception on the season but only had five catches for 64 yards.
The run game for Nevada will be key in this game and while they ranked a respectable 32nd in the nation defending the run they gave up 200 rushing yards in their season finale.
Tulane Injury Report:
OUT: RB Corey Dauphine, DE Patrick Johnson, RB Tyjae Spears
Pass Happy PackThe pass-happy Wolfpack are led by sophomore QB Carson Strong, who passed for 2,587 yards with 22 TD and only was picked off four times. Interesting that none of his four picks came in the two losses and in eight games passed for over 300 yards five times including passing for over 400 yards twice. WR Romeo Dobbs (960 yards 9 TD) is Strong’s main target and after five straight games with at least 117 receiving yards he failed to go over 100 in the last three games but did have 172 in the last two games. On the season, the Wolfpack have five players that had at least 218 receiving yards.
While the Wolf Pack are led by the passing game RB Toa Taua rushed for 573 yards averaging 6.1 yards per carry. While he did rush for at least 96 yards in two of the last three games both of those games were losses.
While Tulane only ranked 115th in the nation giving up an average of 279.4 passing yards per game they did rank ninth in the nation in sacks per game (3.36).
Nevada Injury Report:
OUT: WR Elijah Cooks, LB James Fotofili
Questionable: WR Melquan Stovall
The Nevada Wolfpack are:
- 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS loss
- 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog
- 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 bowl games
- 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games overall
The Tulane Green Wave are:
- 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight-up win