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MISSISSIPPI STATE vs TEXAS A&M Prediction & Preview



#143 Texas A&M University
Aggies -4.5
#144 Mississippi State University
Bulldogs 4.5

Saturday, October 17, 2020 at 4:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports


The Texas A&M Aggies are coming into this game as the 11th ranked team in the nation and are vying for a playoff spot. The Mississippi State Bulldogs will be hosting them as they look to recapture the magic from their first game this year when they defeated the reigning champion LSU Tigers. Since then, though, it has been a struggle as they scored 16 total points in two losing efforts.

The Aggies are coming off two tough matchups in a row where they went to Alabama to face the Roll Tide then hosted the Florida Gators, splitting the two games. Aggies’ quarterback Kellen Mond has been good this season, only throwing one interception. .Quarterback K.J. Costello is leading the Bulldogs to the best passing attack in the nation but has been struggling with turnovers. Which team has the advantage in this matchup?

(Injury reports and line movements were updated on Friday afternoon.)

Line Movements:

This line has moved slightly toward the road team during the course of the week. After being a four-point favorite originally, Texas A&M has climbed to a 5-point road favorite in this contest. As it stands, 59 percent of the wagers ATS are backing the Aggies giving the points on the road.

As for the total, it has climbed up slightly this week as well. After opening at 54.5 points, it is now found at 55 or 55.5 points at the majority of the sportsbooks. A whopping 89 percent of the bets on the total are leaning toward this one staying under the total, perhaps in part due to Mississippi State's tendency to self-destruct offensively.

Game-time Weather: At kickoff, temperatures are expected to be right around 70 degrees. The temperature is expected to fall into the low 60s as the game wears on. Sunny skies are expected with no precipitation in the forecast. Winds are projected to come from the southeast around five to 10 miles per hour with the gusts kicking up between 10 and 15 miles an hour.


Chapping is Out

Redshirt sophomore wide receiverCaleb Chapmanwill likely miss the remainder of the season with a knee injury he suffered during the fourth quarter catching a touchdown last week against Florida. He was slated for a more significant role in the Aggies offense after Quartney Davis and Kendrick Rogers declared for the NFL draft, and their leading receiver Jhamon Ausbon opted out for the season. Chapman has a history of being injured as he missed the final 11 games in 2018. Freshman Chase Lane is now the only Aggies’ receiver with more than six catches this season.


Texas A&M is the 19th-best passing team in the nation, and losing another receiver will be another obstacle for senior quarterback Kellen Mond. He has only thrown a single interception thus far, and his best receiver is a receiver-turned-running-back sophomore Ainias Smith leads the Aggies with 203 receiving yards while sophomore tight end Jalen Wydermyer leads with 15 catches. It will be a struggle for the passing game to continue to be as successful as it’s been in the early stages of the season and can become a huge question mark as the year continues to progress.

Injury Report:

OUT: WR Jhamon Ausbon, DB Elijah Blades, WR Caleb Chapman, TE Baylor Cupp, LB Anthony Hines III, OL Greyson Reed, TE Blake Smith

Questionable: WR Hezekiah Jones, DB Erick Young


Throw the Ball Early & Often

The Mississippi State Bulldogs are spectacular at one thing: passing the ball. The Bulldogs average 403.7 yards, which is the most in college football. Senior quarterbackK.J. Costellohas been iffy under center, even with his arm. He has been decreasing his yardage, passing attempts, touchdown passes, and QBR each week while increasing his interceptions. Last week against the University of Kentucky, Costello went 36-of-55 for 232 yards with four interceptions. He only averaged 4.2 yards per pass, which needs to be better. Outside of the opener, where Costello threw for 623 yards, he has been questionable at best.


The skill position players make it hard to defend as six players have double-digit receptions so far this season already. Senior wide receiver Osirus Mitchell leads the team with 247 yards and ranks in the top-50 in the nation. Even with all the question marks with the quarterback play, especially in the last two games, it probably will be the game plan as the Bulldogs throw the ball 58 times per game.

Injury Report:

No Injuries Reported

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