Where: Target Field, Minneapolis Minnesota
When: Sunday, June 16, 2019, 2:10 pm Eastern
We have an American League Central division matchup to consider for Sunday afternoon when the Kansas City Royals and Minnesota Twins meet under partly cloudy skies and temps in the lower 70’s for game three of their three-game series. This write-up was published prior to the end of Saturday MLB action and all opinions are based on the stats from the Friday MLB slate of games.
Royals 8-24 Road Record This Season
Kansas City is rebuilding and has lost seven of their last ten games and enters Saturday’s game with Minnesota hoping to end a one-game losing streak. Kansas City has been outscored by 70 runs this season and has a miserable 8-24 road record this season. Outfielder/DH Jorge Soler leads Kansas City with 17 home runs and a team-high 47 RBI
Dozier is still out with a chest injury and is the only significant injury Kansas City listed for Saturday.
Junis (4-6, 5.35 ERA) has a 1.43 WHIP and his 4.57 xFIP suggests maybe Junis has been unlucky and could see some positive regression at some point this season. Junis has a 46 percent groundball rate with 17 percent of his fly ballsgoing for home runs and he’s up against it with a Twins offense that’s blasted 57 bombs at Target Field and boasts a .249 ISO and wRC+ of 121 against righties this season. Minnesota has a low strikeout an average walk rate and Junis allowing 3.19 walks per nine could be problematic Sunday afternoon.
Minnesota MLB Leading 133 Home Runs
Minnesota has taken the American League Central Division by storm and bashing an MLB leading 133 home runs on their way to a 46-22 record and 22-10 record at Target Field this season. Minnesota also leads baseball with a 117 run differential and leading the Twins with 19 home runs and 52 RBI is outfielder Eddie Rosario and infielder Jorge Polanco leads Minnesota with a .395 OBP this season.The Twins have injury concerns with the most significant being outfielder Byron Buxton being listed as day to day with a wrist bruise. Buxton has a .324 OBP with nine bombs and 38 RBI over 207 at-bats this season.
Perez (7-2, 3.97 ERA) has a 1.45 WHIP and his 4.49 xFIP suggests Perez has been lucky and could see some regression at some point this season. Perez has a 45 percent ground ball rate with nine percent of his fly balls go for dingers this season. Kansas City has some power and has hit 37 home runs away from Kauffman Stadium with a below average .135 ISO and wRC+ of 74 against southpaws this season. Kansas City has a high strikeout and average walk rate that could be good for a pitcher like Perez averaging just over eight strikeouts but 4.22 walks per nine innings pitched this season.
- Twins are 4-0 in Perez’s last 4 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Twins are 6-1 in Perez’s last 7 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Twins are 6-2 in Perez’s last 8 starts on grass.
- Royals are 2-5 in Junis’ last 7 starts on grass.
- Royals are 3-11 in Junis’ last 14 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Royals are 1-4 in Junis’ last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.