Cincinnati Reds
Miami Marlins
League : MLB

Miami Marlins vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction & Preview


Image licensed from USA Today Sports


Pitching Matchup 

Cincinnati: Hunter Greene (RHP) 3-12, 5.59 ERA

Miami: Braxton Garrett (LHP) 2-4, 3.96 ERA 



The Cincinnati Reds have been struggling this season overall, but are playing decent as of late right now. Rookie righty Hunter Greene is coming off a losing effort against the Miami Marlins where he allowed two runs on nine hits with a walk and six strikeouts in 6.1 innings of work. 


The Miami Marlins have been struggling as of late and beginning to fall out of the NL Wild Card picture right now. Young southpaw Braxton Garrett is coming off a loss against these Cincinnati Reds as well as he threw five innings and gave up five runs on seven hits with a hit by pitch, a walk, and eight strikeouts.


Selling Pieces Already

The Cincinnati Reds have not been great offensively so far as they sit at 19th in MLB with a .692 team OPS while scoring 4.40 runs at ER game this season. Third baseman Brandon Drury has been leading the team as he has an .859 OPS with 20 homers and 59 RBI while stealing a pair of bases. He’s been hitting well as he is 7-for-25 with two home runs, five RBI, and five runs scored in his previous seven games played. 


Hunter Greene is the top-ranked prospect in the Cincinnati Reds organization and has struggled this year when looking at his Baseball Savant page as he is in the 10th percentile in barrel percentage, 20th percentile in average exit velocity, 21st percentile in xSLG, and 25th percentile in xERA. He has a three-pitch arsenal (fastball, slider, changeup) and the fastball has been getting hit as it has a .622 slugging percentage with 14 home runs against it this year. This is Greene’s second straight start against the Marlins so it will be a good test to see how he does facing a struggling lineup twice in a row.


FIsh Fire Sale?

The Miami Marlins are not doing good at all at the plate as a team as they are sitting at 27th with a .676 OPS while averaging 3.99 runs per game so far. First baseman Jesus Aguilar has not been hitting that well as he has a .686 OPS with 12 homers and 43 RBI while also stealing a base. He’s been struggling in his last seven games as he is 5-for-27 with a home run, six RBI, and a 1:12 walk-to-strikeout ratio in this span of games. 


Braxton Garrett is considered to be the 21st-ranked prospect for Miami and has done incredibly well so far looking at his Baseball Savant page as he is in the 97th percentile in chase rate, 84th percentile in walk percentage, 76th percentile in hard hit percentage, and 66th percentile in strikeout percentage. He throws five different pitches (slider, fastball, sinker, curveball, changeup) and his slider has been his best pitch as it has a .214 batting average against with 37 strikeouts. This will be interesting to see how his stuff translates in a second-consecutive start against the Reds.


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