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A pair of bitter AFC East rivals meet up down in South Beach in week 13 NFL action. The Buffalo Bills are on the road as they make the trip to face the Miami Dolphins Sunday afternoon. Buffalo comes in off a 24-21 win over the Jaguars at home last Sunday in their previous contest. Miami let one slip away as they were beaten 27-24 on the road by the Colts last Sunday. The Dolphins lead the all-time regular season series 59-44-1 but the Bills have taken two straight and seven of the last nine meetings, including a 22-16 win here in the last matchup on December 31, 2017.
Buffalo Bills Seek Third Straight Win
Buffalo got off to a hot start against Jacksonville, then needed a spark that came from a fight late in the third quarter. After that, the Bills’ responded, turning a 1st and goal at the one into 4th and goal at the 24. Jacksonville missed a field goal, the Bills scored three plays later and went on to the victory. Buffalo was narrowly outgained 333-327 in the game: they lost the first down (25-18) and time of possession (32:42 to 27:18) battles as well. The Bills forced two Jacksonville turnovers while not committing one in the game. The second takeaway set Buffalo up for a field goal that proved to be the margin of victory. The Bills are 3-3 ATS on the road this season while the under is 4-2 in those games.
The Bills put up 159.8 yards per game through the air this season while they run the ball for an average of 114.1 yards per contest. Buffalo is second last in the league as they average just 14.6 points per game while they are 17th in scoring defense by allowing 24.7 points per game. Josh Allen, the first-round pick from Wyoming, has completed 83 of 158 passes for 992 yards with three touchdowns and five interceptions. He adds 254 rushing yards and four scores: he missed four games with an elbow injury but returned last week. Derek Anderson is 42 of 70 for 465 yards with four interceptions: he’s out with a concussion. Matt Barkley, who was 15 of 25 for 232 yards and two scores, will back Allen up in this one. LeSean McCoy leads the ground game with 128 carries for 426 yards and two scores. Chris Ivory (83 carries, 294 yards, TD) and Marcus Murphy (36 carries, 198 yards) are next in line. Zay Jones leads the team with 37 receptions for 392 yards and two scores. McCoy (25 receptions, 198 yards) and Kelvin Benjamin (21 grabs, 334 yards, TD) are secondary targets. Robert Foster has stepped up in his couple of games as he has seven receptions for 229 yards and two scores. Stephen Hauschka has hit all 15 extra points and 16 of 17 field goal tries this season with a long of 54.
Miami Dolphins Try to Get Back to .500
Miami welcomed back Ryan Tannehill last week but unfortunately, it didn’t culminate in a win. The Dolphins blew a 24-14 fourth quarter lead to lose as time expired on an Adam Vinatieri field goal. Miami lost for the fourth time in five games to drop to 5-6 on the season and has work to do to get back in the playoff picture. The Dolphins were mauled 455-314 in the total yardage battle, gave up 26 first downs to their 14 and lost the time of possession by a 31:54 to 28:06 margin. Miami had three takeaways while only having one giveaway but failed to capitalize on their opportunities. The Dolphins are 4-1 ATS at home this season while the over is 4-1 in those games.
The Dolphins enter this game averaging 207.1 yards per game through the air and 106.5 yards a contest on the ground. Miami is 25th in scoring offense with 20.3 points per game and 22nd in scoring defense by giving up 25.7 points per contest. Ryan Tannehill has completed 102 of 154 for 1,176 yards with 10 touchdowns and five interceptions while getting sacked 12 times. He missed five games with a shoulder injury before returning against the Colts last week. Brock Osweiler is 113 of 178 for 1,247 yards with six touchdowns against four interceptions while getting sacked 16 times. Albert Wilson completed his lone pass for a 52-yard touchdown. Frank Gore leads the team in rushing with 131 carries for 595 yards. Kenyan Drake contributes 89 carries for 408 yards and four touchdowns. Ryan Tannehill is third on the team with 105 rushing yards. Danny Amendola leads the team in receptions as he has 48 for 469 yards plus a score. Albert Wilson (26 grabs, 391 yards, four TD), Drake (38 catches, 298 yards, three TD), Kenny Stills (20 receptions, 332 yards, four TD), Jakeem Grant (21 receptions, 268 yards, two TD) and tight end Mike Gesicki (18 catches, 156 yards) are all good targets. Wilson and Grant are done for the year, putting former first-round pick DeVante Parker (17 receptions, 235 yards) back in the mix. Jason Sanders is 23 of 24 on extra points and 16 of 17 on field goal tries with a long of 50 this season.
- Dolphins are 18-46-3 ATS in their last 67 home games vs. a team with a losing road record
- Dolphins are 5-15 ATS in their last 20 games in December
- Bills are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game
- Bills are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games on gras