Seattle Mariners
Kansas City Royals
League : MLB

Kansas City Royals vs Seattle Mariners Prediction & Preview



Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Pitching Matchup

Seattle: Logan Gilbert (RHP) 5-5, 4.97 ERA

Kansas City: Jackson Kowar (RHP) 0-3, 11.50 ERA

The Seattle Mariners have been trying to stay alive in the AL Wild Card picture as they are 79-68 this season. They will be sending rookie Logan Gilbert to the mound and he is coming off a no-decision against the Boston Red Sox and went six innings while allowing two runs on five hits with a walk and nine strikeouts.

The Kansas City Royals have been struggling this season as they are eliminated from playoff contention with their 66-81 record. They will be having rookie Jackson Kowar pitching here and he is coming off a no-decision against the Oakland Athletics as he lasted one inning and allowed five runs on three hits with four walks and a strikeout.


Hitless in Seattle

The Seattle Mariners have not been mistaken as a good offensive team as they are currently 27th in the majors with a .681 OPS. Even though they don’t hit incredibly well, they are still averaging 4.24 runs per game. Looking at the last seven days (six games) for the Mariners has not been pretty as they are scoring four runs per game while having a slashline of .207/.282/.326 in that span. Third baseman Kyle Seager has been playing well in the final year of his contract as he has a .725 OPS with 34 home runs and 96 stolen bases. If some of the younger players can follow in his footsteps, their offense will be more of a threat.


Logan Gilbert is considered to be the fourth-ranked prospect in the Seattle Mariners organization and doing decently well according to his Baseball Savant page. He is in the 94th percentile in walk percentage, 69th percentile in strikeout percentage, 65th percentile in whiff percentage, and 54th percentile in xERA. Gilbert throws four pitches (fastball, slider, changeup, curveball) and his curveball has a .083 batting average and a .167 slugging percentage. He faced the Royals once this season as he did not factor into the decision as he went four innings and allowed five runs on nine hits with a walk and five strikeouts.


KC Needs Offense

The Kansas City Royals offensive output is not that much better as they are 25th in MLB with a .702 OPS. A big reason for the number being so low is their lack of power as the team only has 155 total home runs this season. They don’t hit incredibly well at home either as they have a .731 OPS while averaging 4.64 runs per home game in 73 games. Second baseman Whit Merrifield has been doing decent at the plate as he has a .718 OPS with 10 home runs and 70 RBI while stealing 40 bases in 44 attempts.




Jackson Kowar is the fourth-ranked prospect in the Kansas City Royals organization and has done decently well in his limited numbers on his Baseball Savant page. He is in the sixth percentile in curve spin, 37th percentile in fastball spin, 51st percentile in max exit velocity, and 86th percentile in fastball velocity. Kowar has a four-pitch arsenal (fastball, changeup, slider, curveball) and his slider has a .400 batting average and a 1.000 slugging percentage. He has yet to face the Mariners in his career so it will be interesting to see how he attacks this lineup.

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