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2020-11-21
KANSAS STATE
IOWA STATE
League : NCAAF

IOWA STATE vs KANSAS STATE Prediction & Preview


 

 

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Two well-rested teams are set to face off for an afternoon kickoff in Ames. The rivalry between Kansas State and Iowa State or as they like to call it, "Farmageddon", has been won by Kansas State 11 out of the last 12 meetings. It has not been as one sided as it looks, 9 of those wins were 1 score games. Looking at the history between these teams even further, 50 wins for Iowa State and 49 wins for Kansas State. It is clear that this is one of the more intense rivalries in all of college football but that does not show in the line. Iowa State opened as touchdown favorites but has since been bet up to over 10.5 in most places.

Both of these teams came into this season with good quarterback play to rely on but have since faltered in different ways. Iowa State junior QB Brock Purdy came in as one of the nations best but has struggled with turnovers so far. Kansas State senior QB Skylar Thompson came in as one of the nations best dual-threat QB's but is set to miss his fifth straight game with an upper-body injury. He recently had surgery and will miss the remainder of the season.

(Late line movements and injury reports were updated on Saturday morning.)

Line Movements:

Iowa State opened the lines as an 11-point favorite. That line has moved to Iowa State a -13-point favorite at the majority of sportsbooks as of Saturday morning. A majority, 57 percent, of the bets ATS are backing the Wildcats on the road.

The over/under has trended downward rather solidly for this contest. After opening at 50.5 points, the number has trended down to 46.5 or 47 points for this contest, depending on the sportsbook. A solid 56 percent of the bets on the total are backing the over in this contest.

Game-time Weather: It’s going to be a decent fall afternoon in Ames. The temperature at kickoff is expected to be in the mid-40s with the real-feel in the low-40s. There are cloudy skies in the forecast with no precipitation expected for this contest. Temperatures will fall into the high-30s with the real-feel registering in the mid-30s as the game continues. Winds are expected from the east-southeast around eight miles an hour. The wind gusts will kick up to 10 miles per hour during the game.

Game-time Weather: It’s going to be a decent fall afternoon in Ames. Temperature at kickoff is expected to be in the mid-40s with the real-feel in the low-40s. There are cloudy skies in the forecast with no precipitation expected for this contest. Temperatures will fall into the high-30s with the real-feel registering in the mid-30s as the game continues. Winds are expected from the east-southeast around eight miles an hour. The wind gusts will kick up to 10 miles per hour during the game.

 

Young Wildcats Lead The Way

Spirits were high in Manhattan coming into the season and after winning on the road on then #3 Oklahoma until QB Skylar Thompson went down. True Freshman QB Will Howard was next in line and did not disappoint at first. His first real action was against Texas Tech, when Thompson went down. He finished the game with over 100 yards passing a threw a touchdown to seal the game for the Wildcats. Following that game, he led the Wildcats to another victory against an atrocious Kansas and still looked okay. Since his appearance against Kansas, Howard has only thrown two touchdown passes while throwing four interceptions along the way. It is clear that the better teams are taking advantage of his experience.

 

Fellow true freshman Deuce Vaughn is the spark plug to this offense. The running back is the only player in the Big 12 to lead his team in rushing and receiving. Kansas State will need to get his name atop the stat sheet if they want to compete against Iowa State.

Defensively, the Wildcats are not spectacular by any means, but they are for sure one of the better units in the Big 12. They are led by senior LB Justin Hughes and senior DB Jahron McPherson. The Kansas State defense gives up an average of 5.3 yards per play which is quite frankly average. They will have to be on their A-game or hope Brock Purdy continues his struggles.

Kansas State Injury Report:

OUT: DB Johnathan Alexander, RB Joe Ervin, WR Wykeen Gill, RB Thomas Grayson, DB T.J. Smith, QB Skylar Thompson, TE Samuel Wheeler

 

Breece Hall Monster Sophomore Season

Sophomore running back Breece Hall came into the season looking to build off of his solid true freshman campaign. Through 7 games this season, he has done more than build on a solid freshman year. Hall has 1,034 rushing yards this season which is the most in the nation and 14 touchdowns to his name. He has rushed for over 100 yards in every game this season.

 

Iowa State Head Coach Matt Campbell knew he has something special in Hall but nothing like this. It was supposed to be the Brock Purdy show this season. Junior QB came into the season with a lot of praise... Second-Team All-Big 12, Davey O'Brien Award semifinalist, Maxwell Award watchlist, and Manning Award watch lists. It is safe to say that the season has not gone how Purdy planned. He has thrown 10 touchdowns and 6 interceptions so far. 5 of those interceptions have came the last three games. It is tough to predict how Purdy will perform. If he is on, the offense will light up the scoreboard... if not, they will have to rely on Breece Hall.

Defensively, they match up almost identically to Kansas State, giving up an average of 5.2 yards per play. The strength of the defense comes from the veteran linebacker crew. Junior Mike Rose, senior Jake Humel, and redshirt junior Vance O'Rien combine for 142 total tackles. These three are going to face a tough task keeping the shifty Duece Vaughn in check.

Iowa State Injury Report:

OUT: WR Tarique Milton



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