The tilt between France and Belgium will be played at the Saint-Petersburg Stadium in Saint Petersburg on July 10th. Belgium got an opportunity to fight for the medal for the first time since 1986 in Mexico after upsetting the biggest favorite at the World Cup, Brazil, while France recorded a comfortable win over Uruguay, but this duel will not be that easy for the Blues.
France vs. Belgium
Three-Way: 1: France +154; X: +225 Draw; 2: Belgium +210
Spread 0: France -143; Belgium +110
Total 2.5 goals: Over +106; Under -139
Didier Deschamps’ side attempted only two shots on target in the Quarter-finals matchup against Uruguay, but both of those shots ended behind Fernando Muslera’s back who did help the French with his howler in the second half when he comically failed to stop Antoine Griezmann’s shot. A couple of shots on target will likely not be enough to beat Belgium, but France has what it takes to eliminate their neighbors as they never lost to the Red Devils at the World Cup.
It’s been a relatively easy path to the semis for France as they topped the group with seven points, finishing ahead of Denmark, and although they had a bit of trouble in the Round of 16 in a 4-3 victory over Argentina, the win was more comfortable than the result suggests. Uruguay couldn’t match them in the quarter-finals without Edinson Cavani who was unavailable due to an injury, so the clash with Belgium will represent the biggest test for France, and there is no doubt that if they manage to reach the finals, the Blues will be favorites against England or Croatia. France’s chances to win the World Cup are now +200, while the Blues are -120 to reach the finals.
The Red Devils made an upset and beat Brazil in the quarter-finals in an inspiring performance that sent the Selecao home, but they can thank a fantastic Thibaut Courtois who had an outstanding game between the sticks, making even eight saves and allowing just one goal. After a dramatic comeback 3-2 victory over Japan, Belgium was highly motivated to continue their quest at the World Cup against favored Brazil and showed an excellent display in the opening 30 minutes, surprising the Brazilians with a couple of goals through Fernandinho’s own goal and a rocket from Kevin De Bruyne. The Red Devils opted for a defensive approach in the second half and they defended very well, despite not having a single shot on target. Courtois had one of the best performances of his career and despite the Selecao managed to score one through the substitute Renato Augusto and had 15 minutes to equalize, Belgium prevailed and deservedly reached the semis.
Belgium won every game at the tournament and scored 14 goals, so even though France kept the net intact in three out of five games, it’s going to be hard to prevent the Red Devils from finding the back of the net. Belgium’s chances to win the World Cup are now +275, while the Red Devils are +110 to reach the finals.
- Belgium scored at least two goals in all but one game during this competition
- Four of Belgium’s five matches during the campaign produced over 2.5 goals in total
- Three of the last four meetings between the teams produced under 2.5 goals in total
- Both sides already won from losing positions during the World Cup
- Kylian Mbappé and Antoine Griezmann scored six of France’s nine goals at the World Cup
France is a favorite at +154, and although they never suffered a defeat when played Belgium at the World Cup, I am not brave enough to back the Blues on this one as I do believe the Red Devils will manage to snatch a draw and this clash shouldn’t be settled in 90 minutes.