Two struggling teams will face-off here, as the Colorado Rockies host the Miami Marlins for the opener of their season. Jon Gray will be on the mound for Colorado here, while the Marlins will start Sandy Alcantara. Oddsmakers have the Rockies as very large favorites for this game at Coors Field.
Marlins Playing Out The String
It’s yet another lost season for the Marlins. They aren’t going anywhere, and enter this one at 45-75. Things are pretty bleak in Miami right now and they don’t have much elite talent on the roster, so it’s hard to see where they go from here. They did pick up a big 13-7 win over the Dodgers in their most recent game, but it’s hard to envision them building much real momentum from that. Even with that win, they’re still just 3-10 in their last 13 games. They sometimes show well at home but they’ve been atrocious on the road, going 25-62 in their last 87 games away from home. They’re just playing for pride at this point, and they’ll turn to Sandy Alcantara here.
Alcantara has been mediocre the whole year, entering this one with a 4.44 ERA. He’s still only 23 and has shown flashes so he may be a good starter at some point, but right now he’s nothing better than serviceable. He had a 6.91 ERA in five July starts, and has never pitched at Coors Field before. Many young pitchers struggle at Coors, and Alcantara could have a difficult time navigating the altitude due to his inexperience. Their 13-run outburst on Thursday notwithstanding, Miami’s offense has been pretty terrible. In the first two games of their series against the Dodgers, they had scored just two total runs.
Rockies Still Good At Home
Things haven’t been quite as bad for the Rockies as they have been for the Marlins, but they’ve been just as disappointing. Unlike Miami, Colorado had high expectations entering 2019. They made the playoffs last year, so their results this season have been a disaster. They got off to a terrible start, limping to a 3-12 record out of the gate. They then had a resurgence and it looked like things were back on track for a while, before they completely collapsed again. They enter this one at 54-67, and won’t be making it back to the postseason. That being said they still defend Coors Field well, and they’re above .500 at home this year.
As they look to salvage something from this season, they’ll start Jon Gray here. Gray has been having a solid season, entering this one with a 4.06 ERA. Some pitchers struggle mightily with Coors, but Gray has clearly gotten used to it. He actually has a lower ERA at home than on the road this season, so the elevation and massive park don’t bother him too much. Not surprisingly given those numbers, the Rockies are 6-2 in his last eight home starts. The Rockies have a huge rest advantage here as they got Thursday off to relax at home, while the Marlins had to hop on a cross-country flight after playing a game in Miami. Colorado is also 4-0 in their last four games against teams with winning percentages below .400.
- 6-2 in Gray’s last 8 home starts
- 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400
- 5-1 in Gray’s last 6 home starts vs. a team with a losing record
- 2-6 in Alcantara’s last 8 starts
- 25-62 in their last 87 road games
- 3-10 in their last 13 overall