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League : NCAAF

BYU vs TEXAS STATE Prediction & Preview



#367 Texas State University
#368 Brigham Young University

Saturday, October 24, 2020 at 10:15pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

The Texas State Bobcats have had a disappointing season thus far at 1-5. Texas State has lost each of its last three including a 30-20 setback at the hands of the South Alabama Jaguars this past Saturday. In the loss, Texas State quarterback Brady McBride threw for 260 yards and a touchdown, However, Texas State gave up 385 yards to South Alabama and had 8 minutes less time of possession and then did the Jaguars.

BYU has been impressive to start the season winning each of its first five games and moving up in the rankings to No. 12 in the nation. The Cougars defeated Houston 43-26 last time out on Friday night. BYU quarterback Zach Wilson continues to dominate opposing defenses. Wilson threw for 400 yards and four touchdowns against Houston. Wilson's favorite target, Dax Milne caught nine passes for 184 yards and three touchdowns. BYU trailed by five points entering the 4th quarter but scored 22 unanswered points to win by 17.

(Late line movements and injury reports are updated as of Saturday afternoon.)

Line Movements:

The line has come down a bit as the week has gone on but BYU is still a prohibitive favorite in the contest. When lines opened, BYU was favored by 30.5 points and as of Saturday afternoon, the Cougars still stand as a 28.5-point favorite in the contest. 66 percent of the bets ATS are backing BYU and giving the four-plus touchdowns in this one.

After opening at 60.5 points for this contest, the OU has moved to 62 as of Saturday afternoon. 53 percent of the bets on the total in this one expects the game to fall short of the total.

Game-time Weather: The temperature at kickoff for this one is expected to be in the mid-50s under a sky with intermittent clouds. There is less than a five percent chance of precipitation in the forecast though the temperature will fall into the high-40s as the game goes on. Winds could be a factor as they are projected to blow from the north around 13 miles an hour with gusts kicking up to 16 miles an hour during the contest.


Bobcats defense is giving up too much

The Texas State defense has been its weak link this season. The Bobcats are giving up 31.7 points per game, which is not surprising as Texas State is giving up 158.2 yards per game on the ground on an average of 4.1 yards per carry. Through the air, Bobcats are allowing 285.7 yards per game. The leading tackler for Texas State is defensive end Nico Ezidore with 35 including 16 solo and 19 assisted. The defensive end is also leading Texas State in sacks with 2.5 while cornerback Jarron Morris has a team-high two interceptions.


The Texas State offense cannot keep pace with the number of points the defense is giving up. Texas State is scoring an average of 28.0 points a game, while rushing for 138.8 yards per game and passing for 235.7 yards per game. Quarterback Brady McBride has passed for 809 yards and six touchdowns but has been intercepted twice and sacked 9 times. Running back Calvin Hill has a team-high 333 yards rushing and three touchdowns and wide receiver Jeremiah Haydel has a team-high 275 yards receiving and three touchdowns. Texas State does not have any current injuries listed on their injury report with the most recent injury back on September 13th.

Injury Report:

OUT: TE Tyler Huff, WR Waydale Jones, OL J.P. Urquidez


Zach Wilson is leading a Potent BYU offense

The BYU offense is scoring an average of 43.6 points per game which is sixth in the nation. The Cougars are averaging 187.4 yards per game on the ground which is 26th in the nation and 353.6 yards per game through the air which is a 9th. Quarterback Zach Wilson has passed for 1641 yards and 12 touchdowns and has been intercepted just once and sacked just four times through 5 games. The leading rusher for BYU is Tyler Allgeier with 416 yards and five touchdowns. Dax Milne is the leading wide receiver for BYU with 550 yards and four touchdown receptions.


While the offense is putting up big numbers on the board, the BYU defense is no slouch. The Cougars are allowing an average of just 14.0 points per game. Overall, the BYU defenses ranked No. 8 in the nation allowing an average of only 82.6 yards per game on the ground with a per-carry average of just 2.6 and an average of 205.6 yards per game through the air. The leading tacklers for BYU are linebackers Keenan Pili and Isaiah Kaufusi with 32 each. Defensive lineman Tyler Badie has a team-high four sacks and BYU has sacked the quarterback 16 times. Defensive back Troy Warner leads the Cougars with two interceptions.

Running back Sione Finau and quarterback Jaren Hall are both out indefinitely and offensive lineman James Empey is questionable for this game due to a foot injury as is wide receiver Gunner Romney with a hamstring injury.

Injury Report:

OUT: LB Chaz Ah You, TE Matt Bushman, RB Sione Finau, QB Jaren Hall, RB Jackson McChesney, RB Hinckley Ropati

Questionable: OL James Empey, WR Gunner Romney, TE Hank Tuipulotu

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