The New York Yankees are in the midst of a playoff push as they are currently 81-64 this season and trying to capture one of the AL Wild Card spots. They will be sending southpaw Jordan Montgomery to pitch this series finale as he is coming off a losing effort against the New York Mets where he went 3.1 innings and allowed seven runs (five earned) on seven hits with three walks and six strikeouts.
The Baltimore Orioles have been struggling this season as they are last in baseball with a 46-98 record. They will have rookie Chris Ellis on the mound here as he is coming off a no-decision against the Toronto Blue Jays where he went five innings and allowed a run on five hits with four walks and strikeouts.
Empire State of MindThe New York Yankees have been an average offensive team this season as their .726 OPS is tied with the Philadelphia Phillies for 13th in MLB. The lineup has been scoring runs at a decent level as they are scoring 4.33 runs per game this season. New York has been hitting well in the past seven days (seven games) as they are third in that span with an .852 OPS while scoring 4.86 runs per game in that stretch. Designated hitter Giancarlo Stanton has been doing well this year at the plate as he has an .856 OPS with 28 home runs and 78 RBI. If the Yankees can continue to hit as well as they have been, they will find a playoff spot as the season concludes.
Jordan Montgomery has been pitching pretty well this season according to his Baseball Savant page. He is in the 86th percentile in chase rate, 77th percentile in average exit velocity, 71st percentile in hard hit percentage, and 71st percentile in whiff percentage. Montgomery has a five-pitch arsenal (changeup, curveball, sinker, fastball, cutter) and his curveball has been his best pitch as it has a .179 batting average and a .254 slugging percentage. He faced the Orioles three times this season and is 1-0 in 13.2 innings and gave up four runs on 18 hits with two walks and 16 strikeouts.
Run Run Run! Make Em FlyThe Baltimore Orioles have been close to an average offensive team this season as they are 19th in the majors with a .712 OPS. They have the ability to put runs on the board as they are averaging 4.15 runs per game. Baltimore has hit well against southpaw pitchers as they are seventh in the majors with a .760 OPS and have the fourth-most home runs (67) against them. Center fielder Cedric Mullins has been hitting excellently this season as he has a .906 OPS with 29 homers and 56 RBI while stealing 28 bases on 35 attempts. If the Orioles can figure out how to hit well, the team can take that next step to begin the 2022 season.
Chris Ellis has been decent this season on the mound according to his limited percentile rankings on his Baseball Savant page. He is in the 15th percentile in max exit velocity, 45th percentile in curveball spin, 61st percentile in fastball velocity, and 78th percentile in fastball spin. Ellis throws four different pitches (fastball, slider, curveball, changeup) and the slider has been hit the most as it has a .286 batting average and a .357 slugging percentage. He faced the Yankees once this season and did not factor into the decision as he went five shutout innings giving up a hit with three walks and two strikeouts.
- Baltimore: 2-9 in their last 11 home games vs LHP
- Baltimore: 31-82 in their last 113 games
- New York: 9-1 in their last 10 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5
- New York: 11-5 in their last 16 games as a road favorite