The UNLV Rebels will travel to Sun Devil Stadium on Saturday night to take on the 23rd-ranked Arizona State Sun Devils. The Rebels are coming off a home loss against the Eastern Washington Eagles 35-33 in a double-overtime game. Sophomore quarterback Doug Brumfield struggled in this game as he went 5-of-12 for 117 yards with an interception. The Sun Devils are coming off a 41-14 win against the Southern Utah Thunderbirds and junior quarterback Jayden Daniels went 10-of-12 for 132 yards without a touchdown or an interception.
This game is not expected to be very close so there can be a little extra motivation there. Let’s take a deeper dive into the programs to decide whether we are betting on the Rebels or Sun Devils in this game.
Line Movements & Weather
The Sun Devils have gone from 35 down to 34 or 34.5, depending on your sportsbook. ASU has grabbed 57% of the bets.
The OU line has gone from 54 up to 54.5 or 55 with the Over grabbing 58% of the bets.
Gametime Weather: Clear skies with temps in the mid-90s.
Run the BallThe Rebels need to dominate the ground game and they can be able to with senior running back Charles Williams. He played his first game of the season and was solid as he had 27 carries for 172 yards and a pair of rushing touchdowns while having a nine-yard reception mixed in there. This was actually the second-most rushing yards of his collegiate career so if he can target 100+ rushing yards per game, it will do great on the offensive side. If UNLV can figure out how to have a good mixture of plays, it will do wonders for the team.
The UNLV defense did not have a spectacular game as they allowed 35 points (20 in regulation) and allowed 471 total yards of offense (374 passing, 97 rushing). The biggest factor was a check in the correct box as they allowed 2.9 yards per carry. One of the best factors for the Rebels defense was the fact that they had three turnovers (two interceptions, one fumble recovery). If the defense can figure out how to step up, they will be in a good spot here.
Questionable - QB Tate Martell
White Dominating the RedzoneThe running game needs to be sufficient and that will help with senior running back Rachaad White for the Arizona State Sun Devils. He finished the first game with seven attempts for 58 yards and a pair of rushing touchdowns in the game while adding an 11-yard reception in the mix as well. His 8.3 yards per carry is definitely something to be impressed with and if the offense can continue to be a huge threat on the ground, it will be great for the offense.
The Arizona State Sun Devils have been a solid defense when looking at the numbers from last week against the Southern Utah Thunderbirds. The Sun Devils allowed 14 points and just 224 total yards of offense (146 passing, 78 rushing). Looking at the defense tightening up on third down, they were spectacular as they forced the Thunderbirds to just be 4-for-11 on third down. If they can continue to force just 4.7 yards per pass and four total turnovers (one fumble recovery, three interceptions) this team can be a legit threat.
Out - DL Jermayne Lole
Questionable - RB Jackson He, TE Jake Ray, and WR Elijhah Badger
- Arizona State: 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 home games
- Arizona State: 4-10 ATS in their last 14 non-conference games
- UNLV: 5-1 ATS in their last 6 non-conference matchups
- UNLV: 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games in September